How did the two biggest players in the tech industry — Microsoft and IBM, lose their monopolies?

Well, it wasn’t because of anything they did or because of any illegal business practice. It was simply because the business they controlled stopped being the center of tech.

Ayush Grover
4 min readApr 16, 2023

Let’s take IBM, for example. When Steve Wozniak created the original Apple I in 1975, IBM dominated the computing industry. However, the flood of personal computers that followed the Apple 1 quickly overtook the mainframe(IBM’s flagship product), which was the central paradigm of the computing industry at that time. All of the focus on innovation, investment, and company creation moved to the PC.

PCs created the very idea that software could be a separate industry and not just something that was bundled with your hardware. Microsoft, not IBM, dominated the PC ecosystem, and so Microsoft became the center of the tech industry — it became the new sun in the solar system.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4521603-microsoft-vs-ibm-long-short-strategy

It is often said that the rise of new technologies inevitably leads to the fall of their predecessors. Yet the case of mainframes and PCs suggests this is not always true. IBM’s mainframe business, for instance, has not only survived but thrived since the year 2000, growing over ten times in size. Similarly, Microsoft’s Windows 95 operating system dominated the PC industry for two decades, only to be dethroned by the advent of the web and the rise of internet giants such as Google, Apple, Facebook, and Amazon.

This raises the question of what power and dominance mean in the tech industry today. There are, it seems, two types of power: one is the ability to monopolize a product in its own market, and the other is the capacity to control the broader industry. In the past, dominating mainframes or PCs was enough to dominate tech, but not anymore. IBM and Microsoft still have dominance in their respective markets, but they no longer hold sway over the tech industry as a whole.

The fact is that being rich is not the same as being powerful. This is an important distinction to make, especially when looking at the share prices or profitability of companies. While Microsoft may be a much bigger company now than it was in 1995, this does not necessarily translate into dominance over the tech industry. The same goes for IBM. The industry has moved on, and today’s tech giants are not the same as those of the past.

In conclusion, the story of mainframes and PCs teaches us that power and dominance in the tech industry are not static concepts. They shift and evolve over time and are dependent on a company’s ability to stay ahead of the curve and adapt to new technologies. While IBM and Microsoft may have once been kings of tech, today’s landscape is dominated by a different set of players. As such, it is crucial for companies to remain nimble and innovative if they wish to remain relevant and successful in the tech industry.

Companies that were once the dominant players can lose their position of power in the blink of an eye, and new players can rise to take their place. It’s all about staying relevant and adapting to the changing times.

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Ayush Grover
Ayush Grover

Written by Ayush Grover

I do things that involve talking and writing.

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